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ECA (Event Coincidence Analysis)
Year of publication: 2016
Access: Open
Link: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1140/epjst/e2015-50233-y
Organisation(s) / Author(s): Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany / J.F. Donges, J.F. Siegmund, C.-F. Schleussner, R.V. Donner; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kr¨aftriket 2B, 114 19 Stockholm, Sweden / J.F. Donges, ; Climate Analytics, Friedrichstr. 231, Haus B, 10969 Berlin, Germany / , C.-F. Schleussner; Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam,Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24-25, 14476 Potsdam-Golm, Germany / J.F. Siegmund
Description: Studying event time series is a powerful approach for analyzing the dynamics of complex dynamical systems in many fields of science. The method of event coincidence analysis provides a framework for quantifying the strength, directionality and time lag of statistical interrelationships between event series. Event coincidence analysis allows to formulate and test null hypotheses on the origin of the observed interrelationships including tests based on Poisson processes or, more generally, stochastic point processes with a prescribed inter-event time distribution and other higher-order properties. Facing projected future changes in the statistics of climatic extreme events, statistical techniques such as event coincidence analysis will be relevant for investigating the impacts of anthropogenic climate change on human societies and ecosystems worldwide.
Technical considerations: R package paper: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0098300416305489
R package: https://github.com/JonatanSiegmund/CoinCalc
Keywords: Event Coincidence Analysis, Time Series Analysis, Temporal Dependence